Fifty years ago on July 18, 1969, Ted
Kennedy and Chappaquiddick took over the focus of the media.
Part of the focus was to report the news. Part of the focus was to contain the
facts.
I had celebrated my 10th birthday in 1969.
My dad was being promoted in the
manufacturing of engines and electric parts. My mom was pursuing a career in medicine.
We still lived in a very defined suburb
of Cleveland Ohio where Italians ran the politics and the Irish were not
welcome.
I was just entering Junior High School and was in the midst
of studying the shifting of the continental plates and magnetic polar
shifts.
My sister had just turned 2 years old.
I am a Baby Boomer.
My sister is a GenXer. My
parents, members of what is now termed the Mature Generation spoke about the
influx of the Baby Boomers and how they were changing the dynamics of our neighborhood.
Many of our relatives who had lived in the city were moving
out to the suburbs where homes were new and lots were big enough for the
playsets.
I remember shopping back then at Sears, Woolworth, JCPenny
and Pic-n-Pay stores.
We also
shopped at local hardware stores, farmer’s markets and the milk was delivered
to home based on orders my mom called in on the dial phones.
We also were drawn to a very cool place called Great Lakes
Mall where stores were connected to one another and part of where you walked
was actually undercover.
I also remember sitting in front of a black and white
television set and watching Neil Armstrong walk on the moon.
“Peace, Love
and Rock ‘n Roll” was in and toking was quickly overtaking the thrill of simply
smoking.
Over the course of the next 10-15 years, the marketplace
exploded.
New brands were introduced and technology emerged in the
form of personal computers and car phones. Brands like Target and Kmart came to life.
Cars gave way to station wagons that family used to go on
vacations. County fairs gave way
to theme parks where rides and games were available more than just one week of
the year.
New roadways and
Interstates were being expanded all over the U.S. and not just in the big
cities of New York, Chicago and Philly.
The Republicans and the Democrats were at one another’s
throats and presidential impeachment was the mainstay talk on Capitol
Hill.
Today… July 17, 2019… is nearly a carbon copy of 1969…
something that you very rarely hear talked about in academic, business and
media circles today.
Back then I remember watching the Jetsons and hearing folks
talk about how soon we would be colonizing the moon, how computers would take
over the tasks of the house and how cars would be self-driving.
One of the key questions I ask clients and fellow
consultants just to see how much they are swayed by hype vs. anchored around
reality is a simple one.
In first quarter of 2019, what percent of retail sales in
the U.S. took place on the Internet?
“Retail” being department store, mom-and-pop stores, restaurants, car
dealerships and grocery stores.
About 80% of who I ask this question are totally living in
the media-hype and tell me its at least 50% and as much as
80%.
The answer is 10.2% … a percentage that remained unchanged
from 4th quarter 2018.
As much as technology has advanced over the past 50 years,
the vast majority of future projections are getting revised as Washington takes
on Google, FaceBook, Apple and Amazon and new state and city laws emerge
putting constraints around the use of technology on the roadways and public
spaces.
However, the focus of this blog is not about technology
market drivers.
Instead, there was one fundamental driver of what took place
from 1969 through the mid-1980s that is happening all over again.
As Baby Boomers coupled and made babies they fueled the
largest and most profound generational change on the planet earth. What was driven by adolescence gave way
to family cocooning.
And that very same thing is happening right now in our midst
with the even larger generation of Millennials produced by the Boomers.
Pew Research Center recently published a news story about
Millennials that was featured in the Wall Street Journal. The New York Times
published a news story about Baby Boomers in 1969.
“Most educated ever,” “idealistic,” “technology,” “social
justice,” “women employment,” “moving to the suburbs” and “higher incomes.”
Those phrases were used in both of the two
articles... written 50 years from one another.
Just as the Jetsons provided a channel of entertainment so too is the content about self-driving cars generated for SyFy and the
news media today.
Just as the predictions about the end of government and the
crisis of leadership clogged the airwaves back then, so too is the same focus
of talk radio, cable news networks and social media today.
In some cases, what was hot and hip then is coming back as
hot and hip today… maybe in a slight alteration for format and packaging.
Joints were hip to toke on at concerts back then… today CBN
mom & pop joints are popping up on street corners and websites.
PTAs and tutorial programs then… PTAs and tutorial programs
today.
Just as I remember my parents telling me to turn off the
tube and get outside and explore back 50 years ago, I am telling clients today
to turn off their iPhones and log out of Linkedin.
But then I go further… get out of the office and go
walk the streets, grab a burger at a McDonalds, push a physical shopping cart
at a Target or a Walmart and go take a walk down Main Street.
Go to a restaurant during its special Family Night Specials
and grab a table next to a new Millennial family.
Trust me… while so many of the media stories showcase the
family all staring at their smartphones, you see… and hear… a different
scene.
Here are the brands introduced in 1969… Frosted Mini-Wheats,
Wendy’s Restaurants, Hawaiian Tropic, Comfort Fabric Softener, Eukanuba, Tic
Tac, Nerf Balls and Volvo GTS.
Here are the “Top Innovating Consumer and Retail Brands”
emerging in 2019… Abe’s Market, AquaFarm counter-top organic garden, Beyond
Meat, UrgentRx Single Packs, Renault Duster SUV, Bisto Gravy Pots, Chobani Nut Butters and EVOL Foods.
What to watch for… Just as Woolworth back then left
the scene and Target entered the stage, my prediction is to watch because a
brand will appear soon to fill the gap left behind by Toys-R-Us.
They say that history never repeats itself.
Okay, but remember that the Boomers vow to change history.